Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 54% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

58 of 997 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (34 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.33×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3676507647168478,
      "momentum": 0.288008359540699,
      "diversity": -0.1965517241379311
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5396931487885374
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.07818181818181819,
    "share60": 0.05861723446893788,
    "total15": 274,
    "total60": 997,
    "momentum": 1.3337684537684538,
    "diversity": 0.5862068965517241,
    "launches15": 21,
    "launches60": 58,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 34
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 112,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9918341666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9918341666666667
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5396931487885374
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.09749303621169916,
  "shareRatio": 1.6762761048475334,
  "totalAfter": 1077,
  "shareBefore": 0.057942057942057944,
  "totalBefore": 1001,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 105,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 58
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity