Will "wealth" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 45% → FADES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

7 of 1262 launches in the last hour referenced "wealth" (5 distinct creators, rank #81). Last 15m momentum 1.26×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.050470835493181924,
      "momentum": 0.22850230185731496,
      "diversity": -0.04285714285714284
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4546395604754778
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "wealth",
    "rank60": 81,
    "share15": 0.007462686567164179,
    "share60": 0.0059382422802850355,
    "total15": 334,
    "total60": 1262,
    "momentum": 1.2567164179104477,
    "diversity": 0.7142857142857143,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 7,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 132,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9980002777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999166782407407
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4546395604754778
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 08:00 UTC.

Integrity