Will "bought" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 55% → ACCELERATES OPEN

What GENESIS knew, before

8 of 1254 launches in the last hour referenced "bought" (4 distinct creators, rank #40). Last 15m momentum 3.54×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.07050054438686033,
      "momentum": 1.263524518071725,
      "diversity": -0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5540412123756223
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "bought",
    "rank60": 40,
    "share15": 0.023961661341853034,
    "share60": 0.006772908366533864,
    "total15": 312,
    "total60": 1254,
    "momentum": 3.5378688216500658,
    "diversity": 0.5,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 8,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 112,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9926436111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996934837962963
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5540412123756223
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

Not yet resolved. It will be graded after 2026-10-15 07:30 UTC.

Integrity