Will "bot" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 62% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

14 of 1241 launches in the last hour referenced "bot" (10 distinct creators, rank #20). Last 15m momentum 2.80×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.1544429125771737,
      "momentum": 1.028298144501898,
      "diversity": -0.04285714285714284
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6219701028524127
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "bot",
    "rank60": 20,
    "share15": 0.03264604810996564,
    "share60": 0.011674718196457327,
    "total15": 290,
    "total60": 1241,
    "momentum": 2.796302879488091,
    "diversity": 0.7142857142857143,
    "launches15": 9,
    "launches60": 14,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 118,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990736111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998456018518519
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6219701028524127
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007755047466238802,
  "shareRatio": 1.166769923046824,
  "totalAfter": 7479,
  "shareBefore": 0.006649226073686505,
  "totalBefore": 9174,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 58,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 61
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity