Will "energy" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 50% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

14 of 1241 launches in the last hour referenced "energy" (12 distinct creators, rank #22). Last 15m momentum 1.03×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.1544429125771737,
      "momentum": 0.029769314390770914,
      "diversity": 0.1285714285714285
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5031958703620415
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "energy",
    "rank60": 22,
    "share15": 0.012027491408934709,
    "share60": 0.011674718196457327,
    "total15": 290,
    "total60": 1241,
    "momentum": 1.0302168503377178,
    "diversity": 0.8571428571428571,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 14,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 12
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 118,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9990736111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9990736111111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5031958703620415
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.005529225908372828,
  "shareRatio": 0.5078518357238113,
  "totalAfter": 1266,
  "shareBefore": 0.011263073209975865,
  "totalBefore": 1243,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 7,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 14
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity