Will "claudia" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 63% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

41 of 1230 launches in the last hour referenced "claudia" (23 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.03×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3156201231405311,
      "momentum": 1.109077405503316,
      "diversity": -0.22682926829268285
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6314652216284653
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "claudia",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.10220125786163523,
    "share60": 0.033712428919577576,
    "total15": 317,
    "total60": 1230,
    "momentum": 3.0315602030764572,
    "diversity": 0.5609756097560976,
    "launches15": 32,
    "launches60": 41,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 23
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 129,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9938255555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.998970925925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6314652216284653
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.004011619864434915,
  "shareRatio": 0.5906665399681142,
  "totalAfter": 7229,
  "shareBefore": 0.006855816896951798,
  "totalBefore": 9481,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 29,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 65
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity