Will "usepaid" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 25% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

41 of 1477 launches in the last hour referenced "usepaid" (21 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.20×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3156201231405311,
      "momentum": -1.6015130436065634,
      "diversity": -0.28536585365853656
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.25244218641395716
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "usepaid",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.005660377358490566,
    "share60": 0.02807848443843031,
    "total15": 264,
    "total60": 1477,
    "momentum": 0.20159127074335076,
    "diversity": 0.5121951219512195,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 41,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 21
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 175,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9918669444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996611226851851
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.25244218641395716
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006627901246735328,
  "shareRatio": 0.9545327491476377,
  "totalAfter": 40586,
  "shareBefore": 0.006945079045965457,
  "totalBefore": 43772,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 269,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 304
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity