Will "justice" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 36% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

83 of 1710 launches in the last hour referenced "justice" (37 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 0.71×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.42141040430437465,
      "momentum": -0.3367589770559378,
      "diversity": -0.3650602409638554
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.35883853106056063
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "justice",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.03484848484848485,
    "share60": 0.04880187025131502,
    "total15": 329,
    "total60": 1710,
    "momentum": 0.714080929050989,
    "diversity": 0.4457831325301205,
    "launches15": 11,
    "launches60": 83,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 37
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 231,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982616666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9982616666666667
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.35883853106056063
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0020013342228152103,
  "shareRatio": 0.04795209580838324,
  "totalAfter": 1499,
  "shareBefore": 0.04839650145772595,
  "totalBefore": 1715,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 3,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 83
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity