Will "space" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 65% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

81 of 1564 launches in the last hour referenced "space" (50 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 1.91×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4177516863357507,
      "momentum": 0.6466446481376439,
      "diversity": -0.1592592592592593
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6468307067520327
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "space",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.09942084942084942,
    "share60": 0.05207667731629393,
    "total15": 517,
    "total60": 1564,
    "momentum": 1.9091242864248998,
    "diversity": 0.6172839506172839,
    "launches15": 51,
    "launches60": 81,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 50
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 233,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957569444444444,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9957569444444444
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6468307067520327
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.04256559766763848,
  "shareRatio": 0.8308915011368999,
  "totalAfter": 1715,
  "shareBefore": 0.05126582278481013,
  "totalBefore": 1580,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 73,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 81
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity