Will "dex" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 58% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

25 of 1747 launches in the last hour referenced "dex" (14 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 3.54×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.24141568686511503,
      "momentum": 1.2650148999067052,
      "diversity": -0.22799999999999992
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5839998957330343
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dex",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.05168776371308017,
    "share60": 0.014588100686498856,
    "total15": 473,
    "total60": 1747,
    "momentum": 3.5431455282534956,
    "diversity": 0.56,
    "launches15": 24,
    "launches60": 25,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 14
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 228,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.993535,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999730625
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5839998957330343
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0034769171334749853,
  "shareRatio": 1.6255687717164888,
  "totalAfter": 41416,
  "shareBefore": 0.002134839198402314,
  "totalBefore": 43563,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 144,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 93
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity