Will "craftai" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 59% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 1747 launches in the last hour referenced "craftai" (24 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.52×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 1.2579527236624184,
      "diversity": -0.2302325581395349
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5927250804349239
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "craftai",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.08755274261603375,
    "share60": 0.02488558352402746,
    "total15": 473,
    "total60": 1747,
    "momentum": 3.518211358455793,
    "diversity": 0.5581395348837209,
    "launches15": 41,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 24
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 228,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.993535,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999730625
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5927250804349239
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0,
  "shareRatio": 0.00899007364951301,
  "totalAfter": 41416,
  "shareBefore": 0.001331405091476712,
  "totalBefore": 43563,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 0,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 58
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity