Will "unicorn" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 63% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

21 of 1637 launches in the last hour referenced "unicorn" (13 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 2.15×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.21526267879339842,
      "momentum": 0.7653372035425174,
      "diversity": -0.1571428571428571
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6279557784564422
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "unicorn",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.028216704288939052,
    "share60": 0.013125763125763126,
    "total15": 442,
    "total60": 1637,
    "momentum": 2.1497191453619613,
    "diversity": 0.6190476190476191,
    "launches15": 12,
    "launches60": 21,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 13
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 194,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9965986111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9965986111111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6279557784564422
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.008207070707070708,
  "shareRatio": 0.6516763260215684,
  "totalAfter": 1584,
  "shareBefore": 0.012773722627737226,
  "totalBefore": 1644,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 13,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 21
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity