Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 53% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

96 of 1693 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (61 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.14×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.44323654185506034,
      "momentum": 0.1317327969697299,
      "diversity": -0.13750000000000004
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5343133144841059
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.0649867374005305,
    "share60": 0.05696576151121606,
    "total15": 376,
    "total60": 1693,
    "momentum": 1.1408034523989499,
    "diversity": 0.6354166666666666,
    "launches15": 24,
    "launches60": 96,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 61
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 220,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999105555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999105555555555
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5343133144841059
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.044937428896473265,
  "shareRatio": 0.7933912049651385,
  "totalAfter": 1758,
  "shareBefore": 0.05670407560543414,
  "totalBefore": 1693,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 79,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 96
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity