Will "dog" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 53% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 1897 launches in the last hour referenced "dog" (32 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 1.09×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 0.08691558696129839,
      "diversity": -0.006976744186046524
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5256532481984091
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dog",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.025,
    "share60": 0.02291886195995785,
    "total15": 419,
    "total60": 1897,
    "momentum": 1.0908045977011493,
    "diversity": 0.7441860465116279,
    "launches15": 10,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 32
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 230,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9949191666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9949191666666667
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5256532481984091
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.006082725060827251,
  "shareRatio": 0.27310542672722926,
  "totalAfter": 1644,
  "shareBefore": 0.023121387283236993,
  "totalBefore": 1903,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 10,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 44
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity