Will "dog" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 64% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

63 of 2289 launches in the last hour referenced "dog" (48 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 1.59×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3800545220936148,
      "momentum": 0.4618717728395578,
      "diversity": 0.014285714285714235
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6355756200921516
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "dog",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.04400749063670412,
    "share60": 0.027729257641921398,
    "total15": 533,
    "total60": 2289,
    "momentum": 1.5870417883157864,
    "diversity": 0.7619047619047619,
    "launches15": 23,
    "launches60": 63,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 48
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 270,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9963302777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9963302777777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6355756200921516
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.05029451744449479,
  "shareRatio": 1.8235015120392561,
  "totalAfter": 2207,
  "shareBefore": 0.0274869109947644,
  "totalBefore": 2292,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 111,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 63
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity