Will "king" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 72% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

40 of 2429 launches in the last hour referenced "king" (26 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 2.88×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3119162312519754,
      "momentum": 1.0566480895690775,
      "diversity": -0.11999999999999997
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7208263597065937
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "king",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.04794520547945205,
    "share60": 0.016666666666666666,
    "total15": 656,
    "total60": 2429,
    "momentum": 2.8767123287671232,
    "diversity": 0.65,
    "launches15": 31,
    "launches60": 40,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 26
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 369,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9918522222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9918522222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7208263597065937
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.009162303664921465,
  "shareRatio": 0.5660544975852433,
  "totalAfter": 2292,
  "shareBefore": 0.016366612111292964,
  "totalBefore": 2444,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 21,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 40
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity