Will "halh" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 34% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

7 of 2503 launches in the last hour referenced "halh" (3 distinct creators, rank #240). Last 15m momentum 0.81×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.050470835493181924,
      "momentum": -0.20704014374763094,
      "diversity": -0.38571428571428573
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.33635091560400443
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "halh",
    "rank60": 240,
    "share15": 0.002435064935064935,
    "share60": 0.0029952076677316293,
    "total15": 615,
    "total60": 2503,
    "momentum": 0.812987012987013,
    "diversity": 0.42857142857142855,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 7,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 346,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9926722222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9987787037037037
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.33635091560400443
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0017603249830737983,
  "shareRatio": 0.9904938978981558,
  "totalAfter": 14770,
  "shareBefore": 0.0017672528055138288,
  "totalBefore": 11317,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 26,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 20
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity