Will "clau" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

40 of 2443 launches in the last hour referenced "clau" (18 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 3.48×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3119162312519754,
      "momentum": 1.2474579162656747,
      "diversity": -0.36
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5743660176096317
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "clau",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.057692307692307696,
    "share60": 0.016571194762684125,
    "total15": 701,
    "total60": 2443,
    "momentum": 3.4814814814814814,
    "diversity": 0.45,
    "launches15": 40,
    "launches60": 40,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 18
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 297,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9946422222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997767592592592
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5743660176096317
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00004666246704463265,
  "shareRatio": 0.06443014647640345,
  "totalAfter": 42861,
  "shareBefore": 0.0008941144913606187,
  "totalBefore": 44737,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 2,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 40
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity