Will "makin" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 38% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

6 of 2244 launches in the last hour referenced "makin" (3 distinct creators, rank #228). Last 15m momentum 0.93×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.027348233519093188,
      "momentum": -0.07602574177217167,
      "diversity": -0.3
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.38358983414819503
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "makin",
    "rank60": 228,
    "share15": 0.0026833631484794273,
    "share60": 0.0028953229398663697,
    "total15": 558,
    "total60": 2244,
    "momentum": 0.9267923489748175,
    "diversity": 0.5,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 6,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 281,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9973783333333334,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998907638888889
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.38358983414819503
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.002729435916577241,
  "shareRatio": 2.0690907757882355,
  "totalAfter": 42866,
  "shareBefore": 0.0013136508360608286,
  "totalBefore": 44913,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 117,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 59
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity