Will "gov" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 32% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

51 of 1999 launches in the last hour referenced "gov" (31 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 0.33×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34835815804353376,
      "momentum": -1.1094789578975015,
      "diversity": -0.1705882352941177
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3173765388260964
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "gov",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.008490566037735849,
    "share60": 0.02575,
    "total15": 529,
    "total60": 1999,
    "momentum": 0.3297307199120718,
    "diversity": 0.6078431372549019,
    "launches15": 4,
    "launches60": 51,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 31
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 256,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996163888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999840162037037
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3173765388260964
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0017440238117384429,
  "shareRatio": 1.30437456340364,
  "totalAfter": 43004,
  "shareBefore": 0.0013348461589801775,
  "totalBefore": 44949,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 75,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 60
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity