Will "claudia" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

17 of 1156 launches in the last hour referenced "claudia" (9 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 2.22×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.18356631474331733,
      "momentum": 0.7972297472274656,
      "diversity": -0.2647058823529412
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5145071995036583
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "claudia",
    "rank60": 11,
    "share15": 0.03356890459363958,
    "share60": 0.01512532411408816,
    "total15": 282,
    "total60": 1156,
    "momentum": 2.219384149419485,
    "diversity": 0.5294117647058824,
    "launches15": 9,
    "launches60": 17,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 9
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 171,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9938113888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997421412037037
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5145071995036583
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0022240055026940273,
  "shareRatio": 1.04438306112901,
  "totalAfter": 43615,
  "shareBefore": 0.002130123671257807,
  "totalBefore": 48354,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 97,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 103
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity