Will "green" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 32% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

31 of 1778 launches in the last hour referenced "green" (16 distinct creators, rank #15). Last 15m momentum 0.42×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.27368239380765685,
      "momentum": -0.8767326937050256,
      "diversity": -0.2806451612903226
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3226002281661414
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "green",
    "rank60": 15,
    "share15": 0.007368421052631579,
    "share60": 0.01770657672849916,
    "total15": 474,
    "total60": 1778,
    "momentum": 0.4161403508771929,
    "diversity": 0.5161290322580645,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 31,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 16
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 178,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9985138888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999380787037037
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3226002281661414
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00339893897985899,
  "shareRatio": 0.7343656878604428,
  "totalAfter": 43543,
  "shareBefore": 0.004633729431389913,
  "totalBefore": 48557,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 148,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 225
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity