Will "superintelligence" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 47% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

35 of 1778 launches in the last hour referenced "superintelligence" (20 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 1.21×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.291886522358297,
      "momentum": 0.19330622251902824,
      "diversity": -0.21428571428571433
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.47243670245742037
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "superintelligence",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.024210526315789474,
    "share60": 0.019955030916245082,
    "total15": 474,
    "total60": 1778,
    "momentum": 1.213254262416605,
    "diversity": 0.5714285714285714,
    "launches15": 11,
    "launches60": 35,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 20
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 178,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9985138888888889,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997523148148149
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.47243670245742037
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00039840637450199205,
  "shareRatio": 0.11816859790776436,
  "totalAfter": 7530,
  "shareBefore": 0.0038858875935930243,
  "totalBefore": 10551,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 3,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 41
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity