Will "character" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 38% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 1547 launches in the last hour referenced "character" (5 distinct creators, rank #8). Last 15m momentum 1.26×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 0.2328649448846446,
      "diversity": -0.7604651162790698
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3764049030405805
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "character",
    "rank60": 8,
    "share15": 0.03546910755148741,
    "share60": 0.02810077519379845,
    "total15": 436,
    "total60": 1547,
    "momentum": 1.262210999763276,
    "diversity": 0.11627906976744186,
    "launches15": 15,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 5
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 158,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9932313888888888,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9932313888888888
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3764049030405805
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0024125452352231603,
  "shareRatio": 0.09515004977954772,
  "totalAfter": 1658,
  "shareBefore": 0.028205128205128206,
  "totalBefore": 1560,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 4,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 44
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity