Will "around" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 34% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

48 of 1545 launches in the last hour referenced "around" (9 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 0.70×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3392644647710686,
      "momentum": -0.3609649954197456,
      "diversity": -0.6749999999999999
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3433613975023444
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "around",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.021865889212827987,
    "share60": 0.031371280724450196,
    "total15": 342,
    "total60": 1545,
    "momentum": 0.6970033963511766,
    "diversity": 0.1875,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 48,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 9
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 169,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9938066666666666,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997419444444444
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3433613975023444
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.005354134453393645,
  "shareRatio": 0.9930425516655421,
  "totalAfter": 43331,
  "shareBefore": 0.005393038078117339,
  "totalBefore": 48952,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 232,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 264
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity