Will "oscar" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 67% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

65 of 1256 launches in the last hour referenced "oscar" (23 distinct creators, rank #3). Last 15m momentum 3.06×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3847424036192305,
      "momentum": 1.1171315762740701,
      "diversity": -0.47538461538461535
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6740344155225814
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "oscar",
    "rank60": 3,
    "share15": 0.15924657534246575,
    "share60": 0.05210819411296738,
    "total15": 291,
    "total60": 1256,
    "momentum": 3.056075499320297,
    "diversity": 0.35384615384615387,
    "launches15": 46,
    "launches60": 65,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 23
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 124,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993702777777778,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993702777777778
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6740344155225814
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.017543859649122806,
  "shareRatio": 0.3444098943531841,
  "totalAfter": 1197,
  "shareBefore": 0.0517515923566879,
  "totalBefore": 1256,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 21,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 65
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity