Will "finance" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 23% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

45 of 2872 launches in the last hour referenced "finance" (30 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.13×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3295836866004329,
      "momentum": -2.0611761937025426,
      "diversity": -0.10000000000000005
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.22867707781842825
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "finance",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.0020161290322580645,
    "share60": 0.01583710407239819,
    "total15": 743,
    "total60": 2872,
    "momentum": 0.12730414746543778,
    "diversity": 0.6666666666666666,
    "launches15": 1,
    "launches60": 45,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 30
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 356,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9993741666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999739236111111
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.22867707781842825
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0008621091383568666,
  "shareRatio": 0.15762770483205923,
  "totalAfter": 42918,
  "shareBefore": 0.005532846112556258,
  "totalBefore": 48438,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 37,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 268
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity