Will "angelique" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 25% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

49 of 2771 launches in the last hour referenced "angelique" (19 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 0.22×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.34235735785147897,
      "momentum": -1.5276078941864681,
      "diversity": -0.4346938775510204
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.24787607008167833
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "angelique",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.003875968992248062,
    "share60": 0.017857142857142856,
    "total15": 644,
    "total60": 2771,
    "momentum": 0.21705426356589147,
    "diversity": 0.3877551020408163,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 49,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 19
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 436,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957258333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998219097222222
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.24787607008167833
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0008293211085258817,
  "shareRatio": 0.34059954297022693,
  "totalAfter": 43409,
  "shareBefore": 0.0024582821191225183,
  "totalBefore": 48001,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 36,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 118
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity