Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

96 of 2771 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (54 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.45×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.44323654185506034,
      "momentum": 0.3697711245047729,
      "diversity": -0.22499999999999998
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5715083068570881
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.050387596899224806,
    "share60": 0.034812409812409816,
    "total15": 644,
    "total60": 2771,
    "momentum": 1.4474033016026027,
    "diversity": 0.5625,
    "launches15": 32,
    "launches60": 96,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 54
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 436,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957258333333333,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9957258333333333
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5715083068570881
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.030892051371051717,
  "shareRatio": 0.8854605953842596,
  "totalAfter": 2881,
  "shareBefore": 0.03490464195753868,
  "totalBefore": 2779,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 89,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 97
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity