Will "usepaid" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 31% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

82 of 2537 launches in the last hour referenced "usepaid" (42 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 0.32×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4195922002245229,
      "momentum": -1.1518081586664743,
      "diversity": -0.28536585365853656
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.3081482061189874
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "usepaid",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.010273972602739725,
    "share60": 0.03250591016548463,
    "total15": 729,
    "total60": 2537,
    "momentum": 0.3160647571606476,
    "diversity": 0.5121951219512195,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 82,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 42
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 386,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982586111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999274421296296
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.3081482061189874
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.007133548254338432,
  "shareRatio": 0.9698656951677931,
  "totalAfter": 43737,
  "shareBefore": 0.0073564856538050425,
  "totalBefore": 47713,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 312,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 351
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity