Will "bond" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 60% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

71 of 2537 launches in the last hour referenced "bond" (4 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 3.09×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3979862946910822,
      "momentum": 1.1274295703305803,
      "diversity": -0.832394366197183
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5970098515316246
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "bond",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.08698630136986302,
    "share60": 0.02817178881008668,
    "total15": 729,
    "total60": 2537,
    "momentum": 3.0877095507232495,
    "diversity": 0.056338028169014086,
    "launches15": 63,
    "launches60": 71,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 4
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 386,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9982586111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9982586111111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5970098515316246
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.012428977272727272,
  "shareRatio": 0.4482102916607709,
  "totalAfter": 2816,
  "shareBefore": 0.02793076317859953,
  "totalBefore": 2542,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 35,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 71
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity