Will "marsx" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 65% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

103 of 2488 launches in the last hour referenced "marsx" (67 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 1.83×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.4537936613693303,
      "momentum": 0.6060580450881218,
      "diversity": -0.11941747572815528
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6548516124588029
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "marsx",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.07622950819672131,
    "share60": 0.0415829650462033,
    "total15": 609,
    "total60": 2488,
    "momentum": 1.8331907816583508,
    "diversity": 0.6504854368932039,
    "launches15": 46,
    "launches60": 103,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 67
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 431,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9924369444444444,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9924369444444444
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6548516124588029
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.021590500179920834,
  "shareRatio": 0.5248253571056198,
  "totalAfter": 2779,
  "shareBefore": 0.04128256513026052,
  "totalBefore": 2495,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 60,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 103
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity