Will "tek" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 11% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

53 of 2297 launches in the last hour referenced "tek" (3 distinct creators, rank #9). Last 15m momentum 0.04×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3541281001677032,
      "momentum": -3.1945260603742476,
      "diversity": -0.8320754716981132
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.10562437166245918
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "tek",
    "rank60": 9,
    "share15": 0.0009541984732824427,
    "share60": 0.02328111401218451,
    "total15": 523,
    "total60": 2297,
    "momentum": 0.04098594563744025,
    "diversity": 0.05660377358490566,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 53,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 3
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 290,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9948661111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999786087962963
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.10562437166245918
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.001776939276939277,
  "shareRatio": 0.5299526398839292,
  "totalAfter": 45584,
  "shareBefore": 0.00336257961074244,
  "totalBefore": 44906,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 81,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 151
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity