Will "solami" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 51% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

36 of 1310 launches in the last hour referenced "solami" (33 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 0.99×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2961121539033014,
      "momentum": -0.012041890226220736,
      "diversity": 0.19999999999999996
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5097110747968429
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "solami",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.02750809061488673,
    "share60": 0.02784134248665141,
    "total15": 308,
    "total60": 1310,
    "momentum": 0.988030323181274,
    "diversity": 0.9166666666666666,
    "launches15": 8,
    "launches60": 36,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 33
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 167,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9946475,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9991079166666667
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5097110747968429
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0005317451877060512,
  "shareRatio": 0.0781772979949838,
  "totalAfter": 9403,
  "shareBefore": 0.007430340557275541,
  "totalBefore": 9690,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 5,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 72
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity