Will "sludge" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 69% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

61 of 1513 launches in the last hour referenced "sludge" (38 distinct creators, rank #2). Last 15m momentum 3.94×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3752153927608816,
      "momentum": 1.3718678814096672,
      "diversity": -0.1524590163934426
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6934369721751197
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "sludge",
    "rank60": 2,
    "share15": 0.16015625,
    "share60": 0.040620871862615586,
    "total15": 383,
    "total60": 1513,
    "momentum": 3.9427083333333335,
    "diversity": 0.6229508196721312,
    "launches15": 61,
    "launches60": 61,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 38
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 241,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9926836111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9987806018518518
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6934369721751197
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.001375831231368952,
  "shareRatio": 0.23167100100106428,
  "totalAfter": 8722,
  "shareBefore": 0.006137359961032635,
  "totalBefore": 10265,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 12,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 63
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity