Will "god" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 47% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

35 of 1456 launches in the last hour referenced "god" (24 distinct creators, rank #4). Last 15m momentum 1.02×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.291886522358297,
      "momentum": 0.01577232474673045,
      "diversity": -0.07714285714285714
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4653957071111255
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "god",
    "rank60": 4,
    "share15": 0.024752475247524754,
    "share60": 0.024365133836650652,
    "total15": 302,
    "total60": 1456,
    "momentum": 1.0158973643843259,
    "diversity": 0.6857142857142857,
    "launches15": 7,
    "launches60": 35,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 24
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 215,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9957722222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9992953703703704
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4653957071111255
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0013824884792626728,
  "shareRatio": 0.39431539546733646,
  "totalAfter": 8680,
  "shareBefore": 0.003604629102637071,
  "totalBefore": 10542,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 12,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 38
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity