Will "agent" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 74% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

68 of 2362 launches in the last hour referenced "agent" (55 distinct creators, rank #5). Last 15m momentum 2.38×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.391510468911301,
      "momentum": 0.8662895138465597,
      "diversity": 0.07058823529411766
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.7366032989842143
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "agent",
    "rank60": 5,
    "share15": 0.06893687707641195,
    "share60": 0.028988573846804908,
    "total15": 601,
    "total60": 2362,
    "momentum": 2.3780706646943277,
    "diversity": 0.8088235294117647,
    "launches15": 41,
    "launches60": 68,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 55
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 376,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9999286111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999286111111111
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.7366032989842143
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.015017327685791297,
  "shareRatio": 0.5249265296718981,
  "totalAfter": 2597,
  "shareBefore": 0.028764805414551606,
  "totalBefore": 2364,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 39,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 68
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity