Will "gen" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 61% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

34 of 1551 launches in the last hour referenced "gen" (19 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 4.34×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.28753839182730917,
      "momentum": 1.4667667143424636,
      "diversity": -0.22941176470588232
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6135944337089936
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "gen",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.09636871508379888,
    "share60": 0.02222938144329897,
    "total15": 357,
    "total60": 1551,
    "momentum": 4.335195530726256,
    "diversity": 0.5588235294117647,
    "launches15": 34,
    "launches60": 34,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 19
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 220,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9943794444444445,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997658101851852
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6135944337089936
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00041188706056799224,
  "shareRatio": 0.40650166905508894,
  "totalAfter": 48557,
  "shareBefore": 0.0010266450195778817,
  "totalBefore": 41884,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 20,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 43
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity