Will "solami" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 18% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

32 of 1813 launches in the last hour referenced "solami" (22 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 0.08×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.27844469855484394,
      "momentum": -2.5764594872751254,
      "diversity": -0.075
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.18444652721845226
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "solami",
    "rank60": 14,
    "share15": 0.0013623978201634877,
    "share60": 0.017916207276736495,
    "total15": 366,
    "total60": 1813,
    "momentum": 0.07604275833158666,
    "diversity": 0.6875,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 32,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 22
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 194,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9974336111111111,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998930671296297
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.18444652721845226
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0013451151625519938,
  "shareRatio": 1.6952637483059005,
  "totalAfter": 48323,
  "shareBefore": 0.0007876270943720464,
  "totalBefore": 41898,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 65,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 33
}

2 memory records written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity