Will "cuckman" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 44% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

74 of 1916 launches in the last hour referenced "cuckman" (10 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 1.50×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.40419407711551036,
      "momentum": 0.40375790152843044,
      "diversity": -0.7378378378378379
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4375970437624831
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cuckman",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.05819477434679335,
    "share60": 0.03886280646844027,
    "total15": 420,
    "total60": 1916,
    "momentum": 1.4974413748027227,
    "diversity": 0.13513513513513514,
    "launches15": 24,
    "launches60": 74,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 250,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9988055555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.999800925925926
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4375970437624831
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.009081527347781218,
  "shareRatio": 1.3272766317034195,
  "totalAfter": 9690,
  "shareBefore": 0.0068437104812913785,
  "totalBefore": 13443,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 88,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 92
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity