Will "coal" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 60% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

25 of 2068 launches in the last hour referenced "coal" (13 distinct creators, rank #18). Last 15m momentum 4.20×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.24141568686511503,
      "momentum": 1.4343115037028529,
      "diversity": -0.27599999999999997
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5986548869725358
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "coal",
    "rank60": 18,
    "share15": 0.05172413793103448,
    "share60": 0.012324794586756888,
    "total15": 492,
    "total60": 2068,
    "momentum": 4.196754563894523,
    "diversity": 0.52,
    "launches15": 25,
    "launches60": 25,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 13
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 268,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9935447222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997310300925926
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5986548869725358
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00036489691662105453,
  "shareRatio": 0.5417908447776476,
  "totalAfter": 49329,
  "shareBefore": 0.0006804796208085975,
  "totalBefore": 42617,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 18,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 29
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity