Will "random" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 52% → ACCELERATES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

36 of 2283 launches in the last hour referenced "random" (10 distinct creators, rank #14). Last 15m momentum 2.89×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.2961121539033014,
      "momentum": 1.0628902837590863,
      "diversity": -0.5666666666666667
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5240234596231711
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "random",
    "rank60": 14,
    "share15": 0.04625984251968504,
    "share60": 0.01598073555166375,
    "total15": 507,
    "total60": 2283,
    "momentum": 2.894725488081113,
    "diversity": 0.2777777777777778,
    "launches15": 23,
    "launches60": 36,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 263,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996202777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999841782407407
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5240234596231711
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0018437474673798524,
  "shareRatio": 1.2947040402997176,
  "totalAfter": 49356,
  "shareBefore": 0.001420256111757858,
  "totalBefore": 42950,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 91,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 61
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity