Will "inu" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 48% → FADES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

46 of 2283 launches in the last hour referenced "inu" (27 distinct creators, rank #10). Last 15m momentum 1.21×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3328805226082492,
      "momentum": 0.1894784549123638,
      "diversity": -0.1956521739130434
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.4821812398550752
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "inu",
    "rank60": 10,
    "share15": 0.024606299212598427,
    "share60": 0.020359019264448337,
    "total15": 507,
    "total60": 2283,
    "momentum": 1.2086190839048345,
    "diversity": 0.5869565217391305,
    "launches15": 12,
    "launches60": 46,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 27
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 263,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9996202777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9999367129629629
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.4821812398550752
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.01821286283437678,
  "shareRatio": 1.4546863250566295,
  "totalAfter": 10542,
  "shareBefore": 0.01251627839675879,
  "totalBefore": 13822,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 192,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 173
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity