Will "test" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 48% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

11 of 2325 launches in the last hour referenced "test" (10 distinct creators, rank #84). Last 15m momentum 1.14×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.11826860405464054,
      "momentum": 0.12938117346559394,
      "diversity": 0.19090909090909086
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.47983080891552404
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "test",
    "rank60": 84,
    "share15": 0.005627009646302251,
    "share60": 0.004944110060189166,
    "total15": 621,
    "total60": 2325,
    "momentum": 1.1381238641129596,
    "diversity": 0.9090909090909091,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 11,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 10
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "random-eligible",
  "candidates": 264,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929830555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997076273148148
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.47983080891552404
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.005673268534710643,
  "shareRatio": 0.9799456168482881,
  "totalAfter": 49178,
  "shareBefore": 0.005788140124131198,
  "totalBefore": 43019,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 279,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 249
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity