Will "clones" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 68% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

87 of 2325 launches in the last hour referenced "clones" (17 distinct creators, rank #6). Last 15m momentum 3.70×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.42847053093307247,
      "momentum": 1.3074708609136951,
      "diversity": -0.6655172413793103
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6836126388571716
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "clones",
    "rank60": 6,
    "share15": 0.13906752411575563,
    "share60": 0.03761822871883061,
    "total15": 621,
    "total60": 2325,
    "momentum": 3.6968121267799723,
    "diversity": 0.19540229885057472,
    "launches15": 86,
    "launches60": 87,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 17
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 264,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929830555555555,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9929830555555555
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6836126388571716
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0,
  "shareRatio": 0.0058774792869696205,
  "totalAfter": 2275,
  "shareBefore": 0.03717948717948718,
  "totalBefore": 2340,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 0,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 87
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity