Will "wilson" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 69% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

43 of 1958 launches in the last hour referenced "wilson" (26 distinct creators, rank #7). Last 15m momentum 4.01×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3227643304889193,
      "momentum": 1.3898740120913935,
      "diversity": -0.17441860465116282
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.6849800657420541
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "wilson",
    "rank60": 7,
    "share15": 0.08913934426229508,
    "share60": 0.0222052067381317,
    "total15": 487,
    "total60": 1958,
    "momentum": 4.014344262295082,
    "diversity": 0.6046511627906976,
    "launches15": 43,
    "launches60": 43,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 26
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 265,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9979872222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9996645370370371
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.6849800657420541
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00014541224371092046,
  "shareRatio": 0.03987264819062661,
  "totalAfter": 13754,
  "shareBefore": 0.004506392789771536,
  "totalBefore": 9542,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 2,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 43
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity