Will "cat" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 1H than in the previous 1H?

GENESIS said 57% → ACCELERATES INCORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

125 of 1958 launches in the last hour referenced "cat" (75 distinct creators, rank #1). Last 15m momentum 1.30×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 1,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.48283137373023005,
      "momentum": 0.2588702276320483,
      "diversity": -0.18000000000000002
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.5650545370062758
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "cat",
    "rank60": 1,
    "share15": 0.08299180327868852,
    "share60": 0.06406329760081675,
    "total15": 487,
    "total60": 1958,
    "momentum": 1.2954656782705243,
    "diversity": 0.6,
    "launches15": 40,
    "launches60": 125,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 75
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 265,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9979872222222222,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9979872222222222
}

{
  "direction": "up",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.5650545370062758
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.042043399638336344,
  "shareRatio": 0.6625391790272259,
  "totalAfter": 2212,
  "shareBefore": 0.06354855109303507,
  "totalBefore": 1967,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 93,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 125
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity