Will "him" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 26% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

38 of 2011 launches in the last hour referenced "him" (11 distinct creators, rank #11). Last 15m momentum 0.27×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3042222370938428,
      "momentum": -1.2949994690882949,
      "diversity": -0.5526315789473684
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.25507908853059774
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "him",
    "rank60": 11,
    "share15": 0.005241090146750524,
    "share60": 0.019135188866799206,
    "total15": 476,
    "total60": 2011,
    "momentum": 0.27389800974706635,
    "diversity": 0.2894736842105263,
    "launches15": 2,
    "launches60": 38,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 11
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 228,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9929666666666667,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9997069444444444
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.25507908853059774
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.0031580093651312206,
  "shareRatio": 0.6943069314838982,
  "totalAfter": 45915,
  "shareBefore": 0.004552961656920948,
  "totalBefore": 44806,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 145,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 204
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity