Will "canine" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 24H than in the previous 24H?

GENESIS said 12% → FADES CORRECT

What GENESIS knew, before

42 of 1807 launches in the last hour referenced "canine" (16 distinct creators, rank #15). Last 15m momentum 0.04×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.5,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3192347558773902,
      "momentum": -3.1926499577976775,
      "diversity": -0.4428571428571429
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.12366889805974589
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "canine",
    "rank60": 15,
    "share15": 0.0009652509652509653,
    "share60": 0.02350663716814159,
    "total15": 517,
    "total60": 1807,
    "momentum": 0.04106291165114695,
    "diversity": 0.38095238095238093,
    "launches15": 0,
    "launches60": 42,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 16
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 184,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960452777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9998352199074074
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.12366889805974589
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.00008748332349145944,
  "shareRatio": 0.09349161329533263,
  "totalAfter": 45723,
  "shareBefore": 0.0010416204955454103,
  "totalBefore": 45122,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 4,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 47
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity