Will "grokbot" take a larger share of new Pump.fun launches in the next 6H than in the previous 6H?

GENESIS said 21% → FADES PARTIAL

What GENESIS knew, before

47 of 1807 launches in the last hour referenced "grokbot" (17 distinct creators, rank #13). Last 15m momentum 0.26×.

{
  "model": {
    "bias": -0.3,
    "version": "narrative-heuristic-v0",
    "horizonScale": 0.7,
    "contributions": {
      "volume": 0.3361064533913937,
      "momentum": -1.3579654438525885,
      "diversity": -0.4659574468085106
    },
    "rawProbability": 0.20726817407258125
  },
  "features": {
    "term": "grokbot",
    "rank60": 13,
    "share15": 0.006756756756756757,
    "share60": 0.02627212389380531,
    "total15": 517,
    "total60": 1807,
    "momentum": 0.2571834992887625,
    "diversity": 0.3617021276595745,
    "launches15": 3,
    "launches60": 47,
    "contextMinutes": 60,
    "uniqueCreators60": 17
  },
  "extractor": "terms-v2",
  "selection": "top-volume",
  "candidates": 184,
  "calibration": null,
  "methodology": "attention-v1",
  "termHistory": null,
  "contextCoverage": 0.9960452777777777,
  "memoriesRecalled": 0,
  "priorWindowCoverage": 0.9993408796296296
}

{
  "direction": "down",
  "magnitude": null,
  "magnitudeNote": "v0 does not model magnitude",
  "probabilityUp": 0.20726817407258125
}

P(term's share of new Pump.fun launches is higher in the next H than in the previous H). Hand-set logistic heuristic over 60 minutes of launch observations: short-term momentum, creator diversity, volume. Slight mean-reversion prior because candidates are selected while already popular.

What happened, after

{
  "shareAfter": 0.005577867023650156,
  "shareRatio": 0.9952082737090546,
  "totalAfter": 13446,
  "shareBefore": 0.005585318591131882,
  "totalBefore": 8773,
  "coverageAfter": 1,
  "launchesAfter": 75,
  "coverageBefore": 1,
  "launchesBefore": 49
}

1 memory record written (sealed: written while memory was short-context only).

Integrity